Within the wake of a tricky yr for the not-for-profit sector, which noticed sharp falls in much-needed funding earnings, 2021 is about to be a yr of restoration, in line with Fairness Trustees.
Darren Thompson, Head of Asset Administration, Fairness Trustees mentioned following a 24% fall within the 2019 monetary yr, company earnings had been anticipated to rebound by over 20% this yr. That is more likely to have a knock-on impact for dividends, which Fairness Trustees predicts will rise by 20%, in comparison with a 38% decline in 2019.
“Whereas we don’t anticipate to be again at pre-pandemic heights till 2024, we do see a quickly enhancing outlook, which we all know can be welcome information to philanthropic buyers who depend on earnings and dividends to satisfy their ongoing charitable commitments,” he mentioned.
Mr Thompson famous that in early 2020, dividends in Australia fell greater than in every other developed nation, because of its excessive publicity to industries which had been extra adversely affected throughout COVID-19, together with banks, actual property and vitality.
“Australia’s capability to handle the pandemic comparatively properly, together with the rollout of a vaccine, signifies that GDP is predicted to rebound by round 4% in 2021,” he mentioned.
“This enhancing financial outlook, coupled with much less restrictions and continued financial and financial help, bodes properly for a restoration in company efficiency and dividends.”
Mr Thompson mentioned yields from money and glued revenue would stay anchored by ultra-low rates of interest world wide.
“Our expectation is that Australian and US 10-year bond yields might finish 2021 at between 1.5% and a pair of% and as such there’s actual potential for fastened revenue returns to be detrimental within the coming yr. A rising and steepening yield curve, coupled with low coupon charges, will increase the relative attraction of equities as an asset class,” he mentioned.
Wanting ahead, Mr Thompson famous that fairness market valuations had arguably captured a lot of the anticipated enchancment in financial situations.
“On this setting, portfolio returns usually tend to be pushed by inventory choice quite than macro components. Our focus will subsequently stay on figuring out attractively priced corporations with sturdy steadiness sheets and comparatively secure dividends.”
Fairness Trustees affords a spread of tailor-made funding portfolios for charitable, company and personal shoppers and specialises in funds administration for tax-exempt entities. It additionally affords socially accountable investing choices for values-focused buyers.
The group offers funding administration providers for greater than 600 not-for-profit entities, with complete charitable funds underneath administration of $2.5 billion, and acts as trustee for a lot of well-known, perpetual charitable foundations. It additionally manages portfolios for shoppers in a spread of service areas throughout the firm, together with non-public shoppers, testamentary and compensatory trusts.